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岑智勇:跟進騰訊派中期息 恆指阻力看23300

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跟進騰訊派中期息 恆指阻力看23300

文:百利好証券策略師岑智勇

周三恆指高開後,走勢反覆回軟,午後跌至 22979.76點後喘穩,全日波幅 278.95點。恆指收報 23102.33點,升131點或0.57%,成交金額 927.82億元。國指及恆科指分別升 0.66%及1.29%。數據反映科技股表現較佳,其中京東集團(9618)升2.12%。此外,體育用品股亦向好,李寧(2331)及安踏(2020)分別升 5.08%及5.35%,是表現較佳之藍籌。

恆指最高升至 23258.71點,創12月20日以來高位,並補回當天之下跌裂口,惟成交未能配合升勢。MACD快慢線負差距收窄,走勢略改善。全日上升股份 890隻,下跌 756隻,整體市況偏好。

據中國汽車工業協會統計分析,2021年11月,商用車受國六排放法規切換、「藍牌輕卡」政策調整預期帶來的消費觀望以及行業紅利不斷減小等因素,產銷同比依然呈現大幅下降。在2021年11月,商用車產銷分別完成35.3萬輛和33.0萬輛,環比分別增長3.2%和1.1%,同比分別下降31.9%和30.3%,降幅比10月分別擴大5和0.6個百分點;與2019年同期相比,商用車產銷同比下降18%和17.6%,降幅比10月分別擴大13.7和8.7個百分點。不過,汽車板塊卻向好,小鵬汽車(9868)、長城汽車(2333)及比亞迪(1211)分別升 6.4%、4.96%及3.52%。

騰訊(0700)公布,將按合資格股東持有每 21股股份獲發1股京東集團(9618)A類普通股的基準,以實物分派的方式宣派由該公司間接持有的4.57億股京東集團A類普通股,作為特別中期股息。這相當於騰訊持有京東集團A類普通股 約86.4%,及相當於於2021年12月21日京東集團已發行股份總數約14.7%。享有實物分派權利之股份於聯交所的最後買賣日期預期為2022年1月19日 (星期三)。騰訊指京東集團己達致「可為其未來計劃自行籌集資金的適當時候」,所以退出投資。在完成分派後,騰訊在京東集團的持股將跌至約為2.3%,同時劉熾平亦會從京東董事會辭任。料消息對騰訊利好,但利淡京東。

美國第3季國內生產總值(GDP)終值以年率計按季增長2.3%,高過初值的2.1%。投資者憧憬明年經濟保持增長,非必需消費品相關股份造好。市場氣氛轉佳,美股三大指數向好。

夜期及ADR上升,料恆指可高開,若未能上破23300水平,指數或調頭回軟。

個股

優然牧業(9858)的主要業務為中國從事生產及銷售原料奶、牛羊飼料產品,以及奶牛育種產品,亦銷售各種奶牛養殖耗用品。

集團在2021年的收入同比增長36.4%至人民幣72.92億元,其中原料奶業務收入同比增長36.3%至人民幣43.52億元,佔同期總收入的59.7%;反芻動物養殖系統化解決方案業務收入同比增長36.6%至人民幣29.40億元,佔同期總收入的 40.3%。期內毛利人民幣21.39億元,毛利率29.3%,略低於去年的30.1%。得益於收入大幅增長及公司運營效率的持續提升,期間錄得溢利人民幣1,188百萬元,同比增長59.6%。

集團近日股價向好,升穿10 SMA及20 SMA,並在金融科技系統出現信號。股份上日收報4.14元,市盈率8.471倍。集團市盈率在同業中處中間偏低水平,若以9倍市盈率估值,目標價為4.34元。

-筆者為香港證監會持牌人士,不持有上述股份。

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