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郭思治∶大市周來之回升暫只屬技術性反彈

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香港股票分析師協會副主席 - 郭思治

大市周來之回升暫只屬技術性反彈

踏進10月份之中旬,大市再進一步推升,恆指昨先高開324點至25161點,其後在買盤主導下再進一步升至25437點方漸受規限,由於近日大市己累積不少升幅,故表現開始漸呈拉鋸,但市勢大部份時間均是緊扣高台,恆指最後報收25325點,較上日再升487點,全日總成交金額為1629億元,從走勢上看,本月大市在先低後高之形態主導下,月內之波幅己擴闊至1756點,(5日之低位23681點升至11日之高位25437點),論幅度該不算少,惟目前資金之入市態度仍較積極,故只要買盤不退,大市仍有機會再進一步上尋月內新高。

移動線方面之表現己逐步轉穩,恆指繼成功重越10天線(24492點)及20天線(24704點)之後,昨天更進一步上試50天線(25461點),從技術上看,相對昨天恆指的高位為25437點計,相距50天線僅差24點而已,由於50天線一般均代表中期後市之表現、但此潮大市自5日低位23681點開始之回升,技術上暫只屬急跌後之反彈而已,照情況看,暫仍未算是新升浪之開始。

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