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李慧芬:美國聯手釋放石油儲備 油價下跌拖低三桶油

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美國聯手釋放石油儲備 油價下跌拖低三桶油

由於油價持續高企,普踏入第4季,紐約期油已升至85美元一桶水平之上,上星期美國終按耐不住,公佈釋放首批戰略石油儲備(SPR)。

美國能源部官網顯示,4個戰略石油儲備基地將會釋出3,200萬桶原油,分別為德州Big Hill與Bryan Mound,以及路易斯安那州West Hackberry、Bayou Choctaw,前2者各釋出約1,000萬桶原油,後兩者則各釋出約700桶、500萬桶原油,總計3,200萬桶原油。美國能源部指出,上述原油交貨時間為2022年1月至4月,但也接受在今年12月下旬提前交付。不過也補充,買家必須在2022年至2024年歸還石油。

油價上升勢必令全球通貨膨脹再升溫,無奈新冠疫情打擊經濟,若通脹不受控,全球將出現滯脹。美國11月23日宣布與中國、印度、日本、韓國和英國共同釋出石油戰略儲備,壓抑油價上升。

全球第二大耗油國的中國已準備釋出至少100萬噸(約733萬桶) 的俄羅斯ESPO混合原油,第三大耗油國印度宣布釋出500萬桶戰略儲油,而英國亦允許私人持有的石油儲備自願釋放,估計規模相當於150萬桶,據悉日本將釋放420萬桶,韓國工業部也稱同意參與聯合釋放原油,總釋放量至少達6,800萬桶。

美國與其他消費國聯手釋放戰略石油儲備,令油價在一個月內跌超20%。從走勢圖看,油價將回落至57美元一桶,建議投資者可趁反彈時於75美元至77美元之間看淡油價。而三桶油包括中石油 (00857.HK)、中海油 (00883.HK)、中石化 (00386.HK) 亦因此回調,投資者暫不宜吸納。
(撰文: 高寶集團證券 執行董事 李慧芬)

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