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香港股票分析師協會副主席 － 郭思治
本月大市雖暫呈先高而後低，惟技術上存在一定變數
在新經濟股續受沽壓下，大市昨再進一步創月內之新低，恆指昨先大幅低開346點至23420點，其後曾略見反彈而升上23628點，惟由於買盤憈怯，加上零碎沽壓再現，故整個大市卒再度下跌，恆指於午後更一度急跌452點至23314點，惟幸維穩買盤再現，故大市跌勢得以喘定，恆指最後報收23349點，較上日跌417點，全日總成交金額為1700億元，經昨天一輪急跌，本月大市在先高後低之形態主導下，月內之波幅己略擴闊至550點，恆指暫是由1日之高位23864點跌至6日之低位23314點，但由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於4個交易日之內，加上550點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需，故在本月餘下之交易日，定必有更高或更低的指數出現。
從技術上看，以恆指昨報收於23349點計，相距11月30日之低位23175點僅差174點而已，即衹要大市稍作下跌，技術上便會跌穿23175點，需指出的是，一旦大市跌穿23175點，即表示大市將進一步往下尋年內新低，其時之技術支持將退守至去年9月25日之低位23124點及去年5月25日之低位22519點。
由於目前衹是12月份之初旬，故在本月底前，大市存在之變數仍大，加上以大市昨天報收23349點計，相距本月1日之高位23864點亦僅差515點而已，故衹要買盤態度稍為積極，大市該可以扭轉目前之弱態。
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