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郭思治∶大市略見回吐,惟恆指續緊扣高台

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大市略見回吐,惟恆指續緊扣高台

大市昨天略見高台整固,惟該只屬急升後之正常消化,恆指昨早市先高開107點至24090點,其後曾稍再升至24097點,但由於買盤卻步,加上伺高回吐之短炒沽壓漸增,故整個大市開始漸呈拉鋸,而恆指亦一度稍回至23907點,惟市勢雖略見整固,但恆指卻一直穩守在10天線(23869點)之上,即是說,整個自6日低位開始之反彈仍未受破壞,只是由於動力不繼,故大市暫無法作進一步之推升,恆指最後報收23996點,較上日微升13點,而全日總成交金額則減至1161億元。

經昨天之高開,本月大市在先低後高之形態主導下,月內之波幅己稍擴闊至783點,恆指暫是由6日之低位23314點升至8日之高位24097點,由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於三個交易日之內,加上783點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,定必有更大之波幅點出現,而從昨天恆指報收在23996點計,技術上當有利於試頂或破頂而上,以本月低位暫為6日之23314點計,假如本月大市之波幅有約1200點左近,高位己可憧憬一試24514點,即是說,只要恆指能續穩守於10天線(23869點)之上,形勢上該有利於候機上試20天線(24534點)。

作者:香港股票分析師協會副主席 - 郭思治

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