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郭思治:大市昨先升後跌,動力不配是主因

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香港股票分析師協會副主席 - 郭思治

大市昨先升後跌,動力不配是主因

大市昨先升後倒跌,恆指早市先高開247點至24242點,其後再進一步升至24385點,即其時大市己急升達390點,且恆指更稍輕越20天線(約在24366點左近),但由於買盤不繼,加上伺高回吐之沽壓亦漸增,故整個大市卒開始逐步回軟,至午後三時後更一度倒跌59點至23936點,大市於末段略見拉鋸,恆指最後報收23954點,較上日跌41點,全日總成交金額為1296億元,從走勢上看,大市昨天頗呈單日轉向之弱勢,但恆指卻未有觸及或跌穿10天線(約在23822點左近),即是說,整個大市雖略見反覆,惟暫時問題該不大。

經昨天早市之高開後,本月大市在先低後高之形態主導下,月內之波幅己稍擴闊至1071點,恆指暫是由6日之低位23314點升至13日之高位24385點,由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於6個交易日之內,加上1071點之波幅亦衹屬一般,故衹要恆指不跌穿10天線,大市仍有機會再次上試20天線,但需指出,大市即使能再作推升,惟在交投持續偏疏下,大市之升勢未必能維持太久,很大程度上,衹屬有波幅而冇升幅,有反彈而冇大升之後抽市而已。

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