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郭思治:大市昨先跌後倒升,似初呈回穩之勢

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香港股票分析師協會副主席 - 郭思治

大市昨先跌後倒升,似初呈回穩之勢

經過連跌多天後,大市昨終見技術性喘定及後抽,恆指昨早市先低開133點至23287點,其後在零碎沽壓湧現下越跌越深,恆指於午後三時左右更一度低見23155點,即其時大市已曾急跌265點,且恆指亦創月內及年內之新低,惟正當市場開始呈恐慌情緒之時,維穩買盤漸現,故整個大市卒開始在緩步中逐漸回升,恆指其後更一度倒升106點至23526點,大市最後報收23475點,較上日升54點,全日總成交金額為1381億元,經昨天早市之急跌,本月大市之形態現已扭轉成先高而後低,恆指暫是由13日之高位24385點跌至16日之低位23155點,即月內之波幅已擴闊至1230點,由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於4個交易日之內,加上1230點之波幅亦未必能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,理論上該有更大之波幅點出現。

從年圖上看,去年9月25日低位23124點與本月16日低位23155點該屬同一水平,即技術上似有機會形成跨年份之雙底,但必需待恆指成功重越10天線(23783點)並穩守其上之後,方可初步確認此點,談到此,首先當需留意一眾重磅恆指成份股之表現而定,如騰訊(700),阿里巴巴(9988),美團點評(3690)等,另外,匯控(005),友邦(1299),港交所(388)及平保(2318)等之表現亦相當關鍵。

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