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郭思治:昨日大市稍見後抽,但動力卻反見萎縮

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香港股票分析師協會副主席 - 郭思治

昨日大市稍見後抽,但動力卻反見萎縮

大市昨日先跌而後升,恆指早市先低開265點至23771點,其後再進一步跌至23681點方漸見喘定並作技術性後抽,在維穩買盤支持下,大市在交投偏淡中緩步升至24180點方漸受規限,即其時大市己倒升144點,至接近收市時則稍見拉鋸,恆指最後報收24104點,較上日微升67點,全日總成交金額則萎縮至997億元,從技術上看,10月份之股市暫只過了兩個交易日,惟形態上己初呈先高而後低,恆指暫是由4日之高位24478點跌至5日之低位23681點,即本月大市之波幅暫為797點,由於一個月之高低位是不會同時出現於兩個交易日之內,加上797點之波幅亦不能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,必有更大之波幅點出現,不論是穿頭或破腳。

再看移動線方面之表現,直到執筆一刻止計,恆指暫仍反覆於各組常用之平均移動線之下,而最接近現指的是10天線(24311點),相對昨天之收市為24104點計,相距僅為207點,故只要大市再稍作抽升,技術上便可重越10天線,出現首個回穩訊號,但需留意,在動力不足下,大市似暫無太多上望憧憬,至少不能抱太多上望憧憬。

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