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郭思治:大市連升兩日,重越10天線及20天線

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香港股票分析師協會副主席 - 郭思治

大市連升兩日,重越10天線及20天線

大市繼上周四(7日)大幅反彈後,至上周五(8日)再進一步反彈,恆指早市先大幅高開363點至25064點,其後由於買盤不繼,加上短線之回吐沽壓漸增,故整個大市卒開始緩步回落,恆指更一度倒跌106點至24595點,惟在維穩買盤支持下,大市又再緩步上升,恆指最後報收24837點,全日總成交金額則增至1633億元,從技術上看,大市經過連續兩日急步反彈後,本月大市之形態現己扭轉成先低而後高,恆指暫是由5日之低位23681點升至8日之高位25064點,即月內之波幅己擴闊至1383點,且成交金額亦見改善,在動力配合下,大市該有條件作進一步尋頂,但需留意,大市只是技術性反彈。

再看移動線方面之表現,由於恆指己重越10天線(24379點)及20天線(24724點),即只要保持此形態不變,該有利於再進一步上試50天線(25481點),相對而言,50天線之阻力該較關鍵,因只要恆指能成功重越50天線(25481點)並穩守其上,可能表示整個中期後市己開始逐步轉穩,但如再有黑天鵝事件出現,大市亦會再度出現避險情緒。

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