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郭思治:大市连升两日,重越10天线及20天线

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香港股票分析师协会副主席 - 郭思治

大市连升两日,重越10天线及20天线

大市继上周四(7日)大幅反弹后,至上周五(8日)再进一步反弹,恒指早市先大幅高开363点至25064点,其后由于买盘不继,加上短线之回吐沽压渐增,故整个大市卒开始缓步回落,恒指更一度倒跌106点至24595点,惟在维稳买盘支持下,大市又再缓步上升,恒指最后报收24837点,全日总成交金额则增至1633亿元,从技术上看,大市经过连续两日急步反弹后,本月大市之形态现己扭转成先低而后高,恒指暂是由5日之低位23681点升至8日之高位25064点,即月内之波幅己扩阔至1383点,且成交金额亦见改善,在动力配合下,大市该有条件作进一步寻顶,但需留意,大市只是技术性反弹。

再看移动线方面之表现,由于恒指己重越10天线(24379点)及20天线(24724点),即只要保持此形态不变,该有利于再进一步上试50天线(25481点),相对而言,50天线之阻力该较关键,因只要恒指能成功重越50天线(25481点)并稳守其上,可能表示整个中期后市己开始逐步转稳,但如再有黑天鹅事件出现,大市亦会再度出现避险情绪。

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