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岑智勇:美股先升後跌 恆指支持看23438

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美股先升後跌 恆指支持看23438

文:百利好証券策略師岑智勇

周三恆指高開高走。財新中國在9:45公布11月經季節性調整的中國製造業 PMI 降至49.9,低於路透調查預估中值50.5和上月的50.6,創三個月最低。數據公布後,恆指升勢放緩,並在23800水平爭持。午後走勢放緩,全日波幅 326.65點。恆指收報 23685.92點,升183.66點或0.78%,成交金額 1394.9億元。國指及恆科指分別升0.69%及0.5%。騰訊(0700)、美團(3690)及匯控(0005)分別升 2.05%、2.77%及1.28%,是支持大市的主力。

恆指以陽燭近「倒轉錘頭」收市,收市水平返回保歷加通道內,是11月26日以來首次。若配合前交易日走勢一併參考,則譜成「身懷六甲」的待變形態。MACD快慢線負差距收窄,走勢改善。全日上升股份 865隻,下跌 861隻,整體市況略好,但未如指數般強。

澳門博彩監察協調局公布,11月博彩收入67.49億澳門元,按年微升0.01%,按月上升54.62%。今年首11個月,博彩收入789.01億澳門元,按年增長49.9%。不過,投資者的焦點卻在開市前停牌的太陽城集團(1383),擔心監管當局對行業監管方式有變,利淡一眾澳門博彩股,其中

銀娛(0027)及金沙(1928)分別跌2.93%及4.24%。

聯儲局主席鮑威爾指目前的縮減買債計劃不會對金融市場造成破壞性影響,並重申加快縮減買債計劃是合適,本月議息會議應考慮加快縮減,以提前數個月結束買債。另方面,美國發現首宗Omicron感染病例,市場擔憂變種病毒可能削弱石油需求,利淡油價,美股三大指數由升轉跌。

夜期上升但ADR下跌,兩者背馳,料恆指低開,支持參考為保歷加通道底部 (約23438)。

個股

中國重汽(3808)的主要業務為專營研發及製造重卡、中重卡、輕卡等及發 動機、駕駛室、車橋、車架及變速箱等關鍵零部件及總成,以及提供金融服務。

集團在2021年第三季營業收入為人民幣 651.96億元,同比上升 52.27%。其中重卡分部總收入(重卡銷售及提供服務給該等客戶)人民幣 584.56億元,同比增長64.1%。經營溢利佔本分部總收入比率為7.2%,同比增長0.8個百分點,主要原因是重卡銷量大幅增加。整體毛利人民幣 108.15億元,同比上升 26.12%,經營溢利人民幣 52.38億元,同比上升 30.68%﹐除稅前溢利人民幣 53.08億元,同比上升 30.15%。

集團近日股價向好,升穿20 SMA 及50 SMA,並在金融科技系統出現信號。股份上日收報12.02元,市盈率4.082倍。集團市盈率在行業處行業中間偏低水平,若以5倍市盈率估值,目標價為14.7元。

-筆者為香港證監會持牌人士,不持有上述股份。

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