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岑智勇:美股先升后跌 恒指支持看23438

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美股先升后跌 恒指支持看23438

文:百利好証券策略师岑智勇

周三恒指高开高走。财新中国在9:45公布11月经季节性调整的中国制造业 PMI 降至49.9,低于路透调查预估中值50.5和上月的50.6,创三个月最低。数据公布后,恒指升势放缓,并在23800水平争持。午后走势放缓,全日波幅 326.65点。恒指收报 23685.92点,升183.66点或0.78%,成交金额 1394.9亿元。国指及恒科指分别升0.69%及0.5%。腾讯(0700)、美团(3690)及汇控(0005)分别升 2.05%、2.77%及1.28%,是支持大市的主力。

恒指以阳烛近「倒转锤头」收市,收市水平返回保历加通道内,是11月26日以来首次。若配合前交易日走势一并参考,则谱成「身怀六甲」的待变形态。MACD快慢线负差距收窄,走势改善。全日上升股份 865只,下跌 861只,整体市况略好,但未如指数般强。

澳门博彩监察协调局公布,11月博彩收入67.49亿澳门元,按年微升0.01%,按月上升54.62%。今年首11个月,博彩收入789.01亿澳门元,按年增长49.9%。不过,投资者的焦点却在开市前停牌的太阳城集团(1383),担心监管当局对行业监管方式有变,利淡一众澳门博彩股,其中

银娱(0027)及金沙(1928)分别跌2.93%及4.24%。

联储局主席鲍威尔指目前的缩减买债计划不会对金融市场造成破坏性影响,并重申加快缩减买债计划是合适,本月议息会议应考虑加快缩减,以提前数个月结束买债。另方面,美国发现首宗Omicron感染病例,市场担忧变种病毒可能削弱石油需求,利淡油价,美股三大指数由升转跌。

夜期上升但ADR下跌,两者背驰,料恒指低开,支持参考为保历加通道底部 (约23438)。

个股

中国重汽(3808)的主要业务为专营研发及制造重卡、中重卡、轻卡等及发 动机、驾驶室、车桥、车架及变速箱等关键零部件及总成,以及提供金融服务。

集团在2021年第三季营业收入为人民币 651.96亿元,同比上升 52.27%。其中重卡分部总收入(重卡销售及提供服务给该等客户)人民币 584.56亿元,同比增长64.1%。经营溢利占本分部总收入比率为7.2%,同比增长0.8个百分点,主要原因是重卡销量大幅增加。整体毛利人民币 108.15亿元,同比上升 26.12%,经营溢利人民币 52.38亿元,同比上升 30.68%﹐除税前溢利人民币 53.08亿元,同比上升 30.15%。

集团近日股价向好,升穿20 SMA 及50 SMA,并在金融科技系统出现信号。股份上日收报12.02元,市盈率4.082倍。集团市盈率在行业处行业中间偏低水平,若以5倍市盈率估值,目标价为14.7元。

-笔者为香港证监会持牌人士,不持有上述股份。

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