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香港股票分析師協會副主席 － 郭思治
恆指重越10天線後，目標上望20天線
大市昨天出現技術上之突破，恆指昨早市先大幅高開355點至23704點，其後曾略見整固而稍回至23512點，惟由於沽壓收斂，加上維穩買盤滲著湧現，故整個大市卒再穩步推上，恆指更於午後成功重越10天線（23938點），接近尾市時更一度高見23989點，恆指最後報收23983點，較上日升634點，全日總成交金額為1534億元，經昨天之一輪急升，由於恆指己成功升越本月1日之高位23864點，故本月大市目前之形態己扭轉成先低而後高，恆指暫是由6日之低位23314點升至7日之高位23989點，即月內之波幅己擴闊至675點。
有一點需指出，一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於兩個交易日之內，加上675點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需，故在本月餘下之交易日，衹要先低後高之形態不變，大市該會進一步上尋月內新高，以本月低位為6日之23314點計，假如月內有約1200點至1400點之上升波幅，恆指己可憧憬上試24514點及24714點，當然首要的條件是恆指必需續穩守於10天線（23938點）之上，另先低後高之形態亦需不變，而短期之上望目標該為20天線（24584點）。
踏進12月份，傳統而言均會有粉飾廚窗之活動，從昨天之市勢看，相關活動似正逐步展開，但需留意，目前大市衹是急跌後之技術性反彈。
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