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X军团-期指股票研究院:债务上限会议9月30出炉 衬避险派支撑美汇 精明放眼黄金

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FB : X军团-期指股票研究院
===================================

债务上限会议9月30出炉 衬避险派支撑美汇 精明放眼黄金

上周主要行情

上周美汇开盘93.23,高位93.53,低位92.97,收盘报93.33。

美联储在本周结束的FOMC上维持政策不变及暗示最快将于11月减少买债规模,市场随即关注本月30日的债务上限会议,现时两党对立局势升温,互不相让,参议院共和党人封杀了民主党调升债务限制的法案。两党政策中心上周估计,若不调高债务上限,美国政府最快会在10月中违约。FED官员和美国财长耶伦均警告,未能上调债务上限,将有“灾难性后果”,市场可能会有“极端”反应。

下周留意事项

基本上整个市场重点都放在债务上限会议上,作为全球最大的债仔,美国只要肯借,外面好息之人一定卖帐,变相美国从来都拥有一张无上限信用卡一样,关系到违约风波条件下,最终通过机会极大,这个举动看似会影响美元加息但实则收水早就预计好在年尾至出年发生,所谓过了海就神仙,已经有足够前因去准备短炒一波黄金。

另外要留意周二、三均有鲍威尔发言,周四GDP第二季季环比以及初请失业金人数,上周市场跌眼镜下近期首次增长,所以今次数据更关系未来走势。

XAU/USD走势预测
日线图区间顶明显在1,830元,至于区间底可以观察1,730元位置,如果见明显支持可以建仓,由于比较两次触及1,830元时反应见下行力度减弱,所以第一个食糊位望1,830元之外,更可留一手上望1,865元。

XAU/USD
好淡分水:$1,740
下方支持: $1,719/ $1,680
上方阻力:$1,830 / $1,865

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