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岑智勇:恒指下跌成交增 支持看23400

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恒指下跌成交增 支持看23400

文:百利好証券策略师岑智勇

周二恒指低开低走,早市跌至 23503.99点后喘稳,惟午后恒指随A回软,跌至 23175.37点,,即曾创2020年9月28日以来低位后反弹,全日波幅 713点。恒指收报 23475.26点,跌 376.98点或1.58%,成交金额 2238.48亿元,当中包括最尾1分钟录得的逾600亿成交,拟似是MSCI指数换码所致。国指及恒科指分别跌 1.53%及1.16%。数据反映旧经济股表现较差,友邦(1299)及阿里巴巴(9988)分别跌 2.21%及2.08%,拖低指数表现。

恒指呈3连阴,尾市录得逾600亿成交,不排除是有机构投资者趁低吸纳。MACD快慢线负差距扩阔,走势转差。全日上升股份 616只,下跌 1189只,整体市况偏弱。

中国燃气(0384)位于十堰市的合资公司早前曾发生严重燃气爆炸事故,集团公布截至2021年9月底止中期业绩,期内天然气售气总量增长21.1%至155.3亿立方米。总收入同比增长43.4%至 389.47亿港元,毛利为80.1亿港元,同比减少7.8%,股东应占溢利减少 19.3%至41.05亿港元,每股基本盈利为74.35港仙,同比减少23.8%。业绩公布后,股价跌20.16%,收报 14.02元,是表现最差之国指成份股。

联储局主席鲍威尔表示,通胀风险上升,是时候放弃暂时性通胀的讲法,要考虑加快缩减买债计划。美国10年期国债孳息率跌穿1.5厘水平,低见1.412厘,下跌11.7个基点,创逾两个月新低,其后徘徊1.45厘附近。美股三大指数回软。

夜期及ADR下跌,料恒指或低开,若能守在 23400水平,指数或会反弹。

个股

联想集团(0992)的主要业务为从事个人电脑和智能设备业务、移动业务、数据中心业务及其他业务。

集团在截至 2021年9月底止中期录得收入增长 25%至 348 亿美元,主要受惠于核心业务优势的推动,及产品组合向更高附加值细分市场的强劲转向和商业复苏。毛利同比增长 36%,毛利率同比增长 134 个基点至 16.8%。股东应占溢利同比增长87%至 9.78 亿美元。集团业绩创造记录,不仅得益于其核心的产品业务,还得益于其快速增长的服务业务。从业务集团来看,由于三个业务部门收入均实现两位数的强劲增长,方案服务业务集团的收入同比增长 33%至 25 亿美元。其经营溢利增长 41%至 5.48 亿美元,经营溢利率同比增长 1.1 个百分点至 21.5%。

集团近日股价向好,升穿10 SMA,并在金融科技系统出现信号。股份上日收报7.97元,市盈率10.751倍。集团市盈率在行业处行业中间偏高水平,但与往绩市盈迕比较,则处于偏低水平。若以13倍市盈率估值,目标价为9.6元。

-笔者为香港证监会持牌人士,不持有上述股份。

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